Why Everyone’s Wrong About The Dollar Collapsing




Everyone is talking about the Dollar dying. They are wrong. In the last month, Gold and Silver have gone insane, leading to a …

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49 thoughts on “Why Everyone’s Wrong About The Dollar Collapsing

  1. All I see is everything is getting more expensive. They like it that way, so they collect more tax revenue. And then they waste our. Tax dollars away On. foolish. Projects. And then the banks are picking our pockets with high interest rates. Legalize corruption at its best. Thank you for the great education.

  2. "Why Josh is Wrong About The Dollar Not Collapsing"

    The DXY is a weighted geometric mean of the Euro (EUR, ~57.6% weight), Japanese Yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK), and Swiss Franc (CHF). The dollar was being debased it was just debased less than other currencies in that basket in responce to covid. It didnt skyrocket it just held up much better than the rest. The printing and inflation still occured it was just much worse elsewhere. I hope this makes sense, I think you might be misunderstanding the DXY and what exactly it measures and how that relates to the "debasement trade".

    The issue now is DXY is indicating that the USD is about to debased at a faster rate than the other currencies in the basket. (hence gold and silver run) Nothing currently indicates deflation, most would say economic data doesnt currently reflect accurate levels of INFLATION. The economy seems to be doing fine which is why this is such a unique time bc you cant really rely on history to predict how to trade this. As long as GDP is trending in the right direction you could see inflation through currency debasement being counteracted on by the deflationary forces of productivity and efficiency from AI. Regardless, what we call it will be which force is greater than the other and that is yet to be determined until AI transforms economy. Inflation is the only conclusion one can draw for the near term 6 mo- 2 years.

    Furthermore, we did NOT experience deflation in 2020 like you referenced in the video at the 4:00 mark.
    Deflation is a sustained decrease in the general price level of goods and services across an economy. It is essentially the opposite of inflation — where inflation means prices rise over time (reducing the purchasing power of money), deflation means prices fall (increasing the purchasing power of money).

    If the US govt wont raise taxes (nobody would get elected) then what you failed to mention in the video and the icing on the cake is that we are facing a SDC (soverign debt crisis) in which the govt is looking out at the possiblity of being forced to print USD to pay the interest on the current oustanding debt. That is really what the DXY is pointing towards and the only thing that matters in this deflation vs inflation debate. Once you understand the reality of how dire that situtation is, deflation as an outcome becomes laughable unless AI is like what Elon says it is and it all revolutionizes humanity in a rapid period of time. A slow AI revolution doesnt save FIATs situation. Deflation wont happen because government knows this is their opportunity to leverage growth and printing pay down debt faster. If all wages go up in America then you dont have to raise taxes to collect more. This also means that the US has to beat China if we expect to capture the majority of the freed up monetary energy this would theoretically create. (less hands in the pie more profit per hand = each hand in pie can pay down debt faster). Grossly over simplified but I hope that illustrates my point.

    Youre essentially short the opinion of the brightest minds in finance and economics by saying you think this all leads to deflation. Gold and silver get bid to the moon when people fear INFLATION.

  3. That's still bad, maybe not as bad as a collapse, but a dollar deflation in that sense means the economy is slowing down and will make gold and silver sky rocket even more. Even if the dollar goes down, doesn't necessarily mean that prices will go down with it… That Whan play will likely be what people are waiting for before making a move on the dollar.

  4. Hyperinflation is generally above 50%. Nobody is talking about that level.
    How to fund the big beatiful bill and all the other pork without increasing money supply? How to increase money supply without inflation?
    The correlation between the printing and the stronger dollar during COVID can of course be looked at through the lens of lagging indicators, as well as needing to look at all the other countries in the DXY and their stimulus packages. Are you trying to suggest that more money printing does not lead to a weaker USD? Some New Monetary Theory?

  5. Wasnt there battery tech, concerning lihium and silver relationship, stabilizing the lithium. Effectively making the batteries safer and charge faster? I thought there was major procurement from that perspective. Plus silver shorts, jp etc. I think metals are about to get a few mentions.

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